Democrats need to win three of these eight districts in order to regain a majority in the Wisconsin state Senate. As it happens, Democrats currently lead in three districts:
Senator Dan Kapanke trails a generic Democrat 55-41
Senator Randy Hopper trails 49-44
Senator Luther Olsen trails 49-47
In two other districts, incumbent Republicans are under 50%, and should face competitive elections:
Senator Rob Cowles leads 45-43
Senator Sheila Harsdorf leads 48-44
The Republican incumbent is favored in another district, but still isn't safe:
Senator Alberta Darling leads 52-44
Republicans are strongly favored in two deep red districts:
Senator Mary Lazich leads 56-34
Senator Glenn Grothman leads 60-32
All in all, Democrats have a solid chance to retake the Wisconsin state Senate through the recall elections. However, the task ahead of them is far from a slam dunk.
The polls had very small margins of error, due to an extremely strong survey response rate. Full analysis, survey results, crosstabs and data will be posted on Daily Kos at 11 a.m. eastern, Tuesday.
Campaign Director, Daily Kos